A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Jan Choinski goes up against Jesper De Jong in the Estoril round of 32. Jan Choinski is 6-4 across recent matches. Jesper De Jong comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

This is the first career meeting between the two, which means no head-to-head baggage on either side of the net.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Choinski is exactly that — a lean.