Cincinnati · R128 · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 13, 2026, 7:35 PM UTC
Jan Choinski vs Thiago Agustin Tirante — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · August 13, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Thiago Agustin Tirante won 7-6 6-7 7-6
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 65% on Thiago Agustin Tirante, who won 7-6 6-7 7-6.
Jan Choinski and Thiago Agustin Tirante meet in the first round at Cincinnati on Thursday. Thiago Agustin Tirante is 6-4 across recent matches. Jan Choinski has won 5 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall.
Thiago Agustin Tirante is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Tirante around 65%. Tirante should have enough here, though Choinski has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Jan Choinski
1481
Thiago Agustin Tirante
1797
Overall rating
Jan Choinski
1792
Thiago Agustin Tirante
1899
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Jan Choinski
Thiago Agustin Tirante
1st serve in
65.2%
61.4%
1st serve points won
68.9%
69.8%
2nd serve points won
51.6%
52.3%
Form
Jan Choinski
9–1
Thiago Agustin Tirante
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Jan Choinski vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at Cincinnati?
Thiago Agustin Tirante won 7-6 6-7 7-6.
Was the Jan Choinski vs Thiago Agustin Tirante prediction correct?
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 65% on Thiago Agustin Tirante, who won 7-6 6-7 7-6.