Jan Choinski and Thiago Agustin Tirante meet in the first round at Cincinnati on Thursday. Thiago Agustin Tirante is 6-4 across recent matches. Jan Choinski has won 5 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall.

Thiago Agustin Tirante is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Tirante around 65%. Tirante should have enough here, though Choinski has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.