A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Jan Lennard Struff goes up against Jiri Lehecka in the Basel semifinal. Jiri Lehecka is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Jan Lennard Struff has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.

Jiri Lehecka is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Lehecka around 68%. Struff comes in off a compressed schedule; Lehecka comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Lehecka — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.