A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Jan Lennard Struff goes up against Novak Djokovic in the Basel round of 16. Novak Djokovic comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Jan Lennard Struff has won 7 of the last 10.

Novak Djokovic simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Djokovic comes in off a compressed schedule. Struff needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.