Janice Tjen and Liudmila Samsonova meet in the first round at Toronto on Monday. Janice Tjen is 3-7 across recent matches. Liudmila Samsonova has won 5 of the last 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tjen is exactly that — a lean.