Tuesday's Cincinnati round of 32 pits Janice Tjen against Mirra Andreeva on hard. Mirra Andreeva is 7-3 across recent matches. Janice Tjen is 3-7 across recent matches.

Mirra Andreeva is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Andreeva around 72%. If Andreeva plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.