A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Jasmine Paolini goes up against Lucrezia Stefanini in the US Open round of 64. Jasmine Paolini is 7-3 across recent matches. Lucrezia Stefanini comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 60.4% versus 55% on first-serve points in Paolini's favor. Anything other than a Paolini win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.