A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Jasmine Paolini goes up against Solana Sierra in the French Open round of 64. Jasmine Paolini is 5-5 across recent matches. Solana Sierra comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
The ledger favors Solana Sierra, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Jasmine Paolini. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Sierra — worth more than the overall number this week.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Paolini is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Jasmine Paolini | Solana Sierra |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 67.7% | 61.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 60.3% | 61.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.8% | 44.3% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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