Jasmine Paolini and Sorana Cirstea meet in the round of 32 at US Open on Friday. Sorana Cirstea is 6-4 across recent matches. Jasmine Paolini has won 7 of the last 10.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Little separates them; Cirstea gets the nod on the finest of margins.