Paula Badosa won 4-6 6-2 6-2
Nailed it. We had Paula Badosa at 73% before the match, and Paula Badosa won 4-6 6-2 6-2.
Jazmin Ortenzi and Paula Badosa meet in the round of 16 at Sao Paulo on Thursday. Paula Badosa has won 8 of the last 10. Jazmin Ortenzi has won 5 of the last 10.
Badosa's 65% behind the first serve (against 58.4% for Ortenzi) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Anything other than a Badosa win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Jazmin Ortenzi | Paula Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.5% | 60.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 58.4% | 65% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.8% | 45.2% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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