A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Jazmin Ortenzi goes up against Polona Hercog in the Lisbon (Portugal) round of 16. Polona Hercog is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (5 of the last 10). Jazmin Ortenzi is 5-5 across recent matches.
The serve is where this match separates: Hercog has been winning 63.2% of first-serve points to Ortenzi's 58.1%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Hercog comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Hercog gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Jazmin Ortenzi | Polona Hercog |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.2% | 60.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 58.1% | 63.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.6% | 47.6% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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