Wednesday's French Open round of 64 pits Jelena Ostapenko against Magda Linette on clay. Magda Linette has won 5 of the last 10. Jelena Ostapenko has won 6 of the last 10.
The ledger favors Magda Linette, 2-1 across their 3 meetings with Jelena Ostapenko. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Linette — worth more than the overall number this week.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Ostapenko needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.