Jelena Ostapenko and Shuai Zhang meet in the round of 64 at Toronto on Tuesday. Jelena Ostapenko comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Shuai Zhang comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
Ostapenko's 64.9% behind the first serve (against 59.7% for Zhang) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Zhang comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Ostapenko is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Jelena Ostapenko | Shuai Zhang |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 56% | 67.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 64.9% | 59.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 43.3% | 44.1% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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