Jenson Brooksby and Nikoloz Basilashvili meet in the quarterfinal at Chengdu on Sunday. Jenson Brooksby is 5-5 across recent matches. Nikoloz Basilashvili is 5-5 across recent matches.

Jenson Brooksby simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Brooksby is exactly that — a lean.