Jenson Brooksby and Sebastian Baez meet in the round of 32 at Chengdu on Wednesday. Sebastian Baez is 6-4 across recent matches. Jenson Brooksby has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Baez fractionally more likely to land the big points.