A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Jesper De Jong goes up against Karen Khachanov in the French Open round of 32. Karen Khachanov is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Jesper De Jong has won 3 in a row and 4 of the last 10 overall.

The rivalry is dead level: 1-1 across 2 matches. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Jong — worth more than the overall number this week.

Karen Khachanov is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Khachanov around 66%. Khachanov should have enough here, though Jong has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.