A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Jessica Pegula goes up against Kimberly Birrell in the French Open first round. Jessica Pegula comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Kimberly Birrell is 5-5 across recent matches.

They have split their 2 previous meetings evenly at 1-1. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Birrell — worth more than the overall number this week.

Jessica Pegula simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Pegula win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.