Jessica Pegula won 3-6 6-3 6-2
Nailed it. We had Jessica Pegula at 78% before the match, and Jessica Pegula won 3-6 6-3 6-2.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Jessica Pegula goes up against Magdalena Frech in the Toronto round of 64. Jessica Pegula has won 7 of the last 10. Magdalena Frech is 4-6 across recent matches.
Jessica Pegula simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Frech needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Jessica Pegula | Magdalena Frech |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 61% | 62.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.7% | 62.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48% | 45.2% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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