Thursday's Washington round of 16 pits Jessica Pegula against Magdalena Frech on hard. Jessica Pegula has won 7 of the last 10. Magdalena Frech limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.
Jessica Pegula is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Pegula around 79%. Frech needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.