Jessica Pegula won 3-6 6-3 6-0
Nailed it. We had Jessica Pegula at 79% before the match, and Jessica Pegula won 3-6 6-3 6-0.
Thursday's Washington round of 16 pits Jessica Pegula against Magdalena Frech on hard. Jessica Pegula has won 7 of the last 10. Magdalena Frech limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.
Jessica Pegula is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Pegula around 79%. Frech needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Jessica Pegula | Magdalena Frech |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 61% | 62.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.7% | 62.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48% | 45% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.