Jessica Pegula won 6-3 6-4
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 66% on Jessica Pegula, who won 6-3 6-4.
Sunday's US Open round of 16 pits Jessica Pegula against Sorana Cirstea on hard. Jessica Pegula brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Sorana Cirstea has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.
Jessica Pegula is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Pegula around 66%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Pegula.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Jessica Pegula | Sorana Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 61% | 58% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.9% | 62.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.9% | 45.9% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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