A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Jie Cui goes up against Tristan Schoolkate in the Guangzhou semifinal. Tristan Schoolkate has won 5 of the last 10. Jie Cui is 4-6 across recent matches.
The serve is where this match separates: Schoolkate has been winning 75.2% of first-serve points to Cui's 67.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Cui comes in off a compressed schedule; Schoolkate comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Schoolkate — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Jie Cui | Tristan Schoolkate |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 63.2% | 58.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 67.9% | 75.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.7% | 48% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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