Jil Teichmann and Zeynep Sonmez meet in the round of 16 at Guangzhou on Thursday. Jil Teichmann is 8-2 across recent matches. Zeynep Sonmez is 3-7 across recent matches.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Teichmann comes in off a compressed schedule; Sonmez comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Teichmann is exactly that — a lean.