A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Jiri Lehecka goes up against Ugo Humbert in the Tokyo round of 16. Jiri Lehecka has won 7 of the last 10. Ugo Humbert has dropped 3 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.

Jiri Lehecka simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Lehecka comes in off a compressed schedule; Humbert comes in off a compressed schedule. Lehecka should have enough here, though Humbert has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.