Monday's Tokyo semifinal pits Jiri Lehecka against Valentin Vacherot on hard. Jiri Lehecka brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 7-3 across the last ten. Valentin Vacherot has won 6 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Lehecka comes in off a compressed schedule; Vacherot comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Lehecka gets the nod on the finest of margins.