Thursday's Tokyo round of 32 pits Jiri Lehecka against Zizou Bergs on hard. Jiri Lehecka comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Zizou Bergs is 4-6 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Lehecka.