Curitiba · R16 · Clay · best of 3 · Sep 30, 2026, 9:35 PM UTC
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · September 30, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won 6-3 4-6 6-3
Nailed it. We had Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida at 53% before the match, and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won 6-3 4-6 6-3.
Wednesday's Curitiba round of 16 pits Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva against Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida on clay. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has won 5 of the last 10. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has won 5 of the last 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Silva comes in off a compressed schedule; Almeida comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Almeida gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
1627
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1674
Overall rating
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
1623
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1617
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
1st serve in
63%
63%
1st serve points won
65%
64.7%
2nd serve points won
48.8%
48.8%
Form
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
5–5
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
5–5
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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