Curitiba · R32 · Clay · best of 3 · Sep 29, 2026, 1:10 PM UTC
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs. Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · September 29, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva won 6-1 7-5
We got this one right. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva was our 66% pick, and won 6-1 7-5.
Tuesday's Curitiba round of 32 pits Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva against Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco on clay. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has won 4 of the last 10. Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Silva — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
1627
Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
1452
Overall rating
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
1623
Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
1444
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
1st serve in
63%
65%
1st serve points won
65%
63.9%
2nd serve points won
48.8%
48.1%
Form
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
4–6
Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
3–7
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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