Mouilleron-Le-Captif · SF · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 3, 2026, 12:40 PM UTC

Joel Schwaerzler vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · October 3, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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Result

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Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg won 6-4 6-2

This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 56% on Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg, who won 6-4 6-2.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Joel Schwaerzler goes up against Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif semifinal. Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg has won 8 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Joel Schwaerzler is rolling — 3 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Schwaerzler comes in off a compressed schedule; Wayenburg comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Wayenburg fractionally more likely to land the big points.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Joel Schwaerzler

1654

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

1773

Overall rating

Joel Schwaerzler

1682

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

1720

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Joel Schwaerzler	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
1st serve in	60.5%	59.7%
1st serve points won	70.4%	70%
2nd serve points won	52.1%	46.1%

Form

Joel Schwaerzler

8–2

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

9–1

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Joel Schwaerzler vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg at Mouilleron-Le-Captif?: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg won 6-4 6-2.
Was the Joel Schwaerzler vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg prediction correct?: This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 56% on Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg, who won 6-4 6-2.