Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Mariano Navone meet in the round of 32 at Brussels on Tuesday. Mariano Navone limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won 4 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Navone is exactly that — a lean.