Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Matteo Berrettini meet in the round of 16 at French Open on Monday. Matteo Berrettini is rolling — 6 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Juan Manuel Cerundolo brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten.

Matteo Berrettini leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Berrettini — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Berrettini has been winning 75.1% of first-serve points to Cerundolo's 66.1%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. If Berrettini plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.