Thursday's Shanghai first round pits Juan Manuel Cerundolo against Nicolas Mejia on hard. Juan Manuel Cerundolo is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10). Nicolas Mejia is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (6 of the last 10).

Juan Manuel Cerundolo is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Cerundolo around 64%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Cerundolo.