Shanghai · R128 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 8, 2026, 8:15 AM UTC
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Nicolas Mejia — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 8, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Juan Manuel Cerundolo won 6-4 6-4
Nailed it. We had Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 64% before the match, and Juan Manuel Cerundolo won 6-4 6-4.
Thursday's Shanghai first round pits Juan Manuel Cerundolo against Nicolas Mejia on hard. Juan Manuel Cerundolo is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (4 of the last 10). Nicolas Mejia is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (6 of the last 10).
Juan Manuel Cerundolo is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Cerundolo around 64%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Cerundolo.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
1707
Nicolas Mejia
1467
Overall rating
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
1842
Nicolas Mejia
1637
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Nicolas Mejia
1st serve in
59.3%
59.4%
1st serve points won
67.5%
69.1%
2nd serve points won
50.9%
49.4%
Form
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
4–6
Nicolas Mejia
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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