Beijing · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Sep 30, 2026, 7:20 AM UTC
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Y. Bu — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · September 30, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✓ Pick right
Y. Bu won 6-2 5-7 6-4
We got this one right. Y. Bu was our 50% pick, and won 6-2 5-7 6-4.
Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Y. Bu meet in the round of 32 at Beijing on Wednesday. Y. Bu is 6-4 across recent matches. Juan Manuel Cerundolo is 5-5 across recent matches.
The serve is where this match separates: Bu has been winning 71.7% of first-serve points to Cerundolo's 67.4%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bu is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
1722
Y. Bu
1749
Overall rating
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
1853
Y. Bu
1776
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Y. Bu
1st serve in
59.4%
57.1%
1st serve points won
67.4%
71.7%
2nd serve points won
50.8%
50.7%
Form
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
5–5
Y. Bu
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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