Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Y. Bu meet in the round of 32 at Beijing on Wednesday. Y. Bu is 6-4 across recent matches. Juan Manuel Cerundolo is 5-5 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Bu has been winning 71.7% of first-serve points to Cerundolo's 67.4%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bu is exactly that — a lean.