The Como title is on the line on Sunday, when Juan Pablo Varillas meets Matej Dodig. Matej Dodig has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Juan Pablo Varillas is rolling — 3 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play.
Matej Dodig simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Varillas comes in off a compressed schedule; Dodig comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Dodig is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Juan Pablo Varillas | Matej Dodig |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59% | 61.3% |
| 1st serve points won | 68.6% | 69.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.8% | 48% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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