A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Juan Pablo Varillas goes up against Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the Bogota quarterfinal. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has won 7 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Juan Pablo Varillas has won 6 of the last 10.
There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Almeida fractionally more likely to land the big points.