Bogota · SF · Clay · best of 3 · Jul 11, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC

Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Nicolas Mejia — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 11, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

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Nicolas Mejia won 6-4 5-7 6-1 · Jul 11, 2026, 8:58 PM UTC

Nailed it. We had Nicolas Mejia at 54% before the match, and Nicolas Mejia won 6-4 5-7 6-1.

Juan Pablo Varillas and Nicolas Mejia meet in the semifinal at Bogota on Saturday. Nicolas Mejia brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten. Juan Pablo Varillas has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.

Nicolas Mejia has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Juan Pablo Varillas. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Mejia — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Varillas comes in off a compressed schedule; Mejia comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Mejia is exactly that — a lean.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Juan Pablo Varillas

1595

Nicolas Mejia

1735

Overall rating

Juan Pablo Varillas

1571

Nicolas Mejia

1634

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Juan Pablo Varillas	Nicolas Mejia
1st serve in	58.6%	60.5%
1st serve points won	68.1%	68.7%
2nd serve points won	50.4%	48.5%

Form

Juan Pablo Varillas

6–4

Nicolas Mejia

5–5

Head to head

Nicolas Mejia leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Nicolas Mejia.

Full Varillas vs Mejia history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Juan Pablo Varillas vs Nicolas Mejia at Bogota?: Nicolas Mejia won 6-4 5-7 6-1.
Was the Juan Pablo Varillas vs Nicolas Mejia prediction correct?: Nailed it. We had Nicolas Mejia at 54% before the match, and Nicolas Mejia won 6-4 5-7 6-1.
What is the head-to-head record between Juan Pablo Varillas and Nicolas Mejia?: Nicolas Mejia leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Nicolas Mejia.