Thursday's Montreal round of 32 pits Juncheng Shang against Luciano Darderi on hard. Luciano Darderi has won 6 of the last 10. Juncheng Shang is 5-5 across recent matches.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Darderi is exactly that — a lean.