Wednesday's Vienna round of 32 pits Jurij Rodionov against Nikoloz Basilashvili on hard. Nikoloz Basilashvili is 7-3 across recent matches. Jurij Rodionov is 6-4 across recent matches.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Basilashvili fractionally more likely to land the big points.