Wednesday's Kitzbuhel round of 16 pits Jurij Rodionov against Tomas Martin Etcheverry on clay. Tomas Martin Etcheverry has dropped 7 straight and sits at 2-8 over the last ten. Jurij Rodionov has won 2 of the last 10.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Etcheverry around 70%. Etcheverry should have enough here, though Rodionov has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.