Tuesday's Guangzhou round of 32 pits Kaichi Uchida against Zhizhen Zhang on hard. Zhizhen Zhang has dropped 5 straight and sits at 1-9 over the last ten. Kaichi Uchida is searching for form, having lost 10 in a row (0 of the last 10).

Zhizhen Zhang is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Zhang around 73%. If Zhang plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.