Hong Kong · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Nov 2, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC · Cancelled
Kaitlin Quevedo vs Paula Badosa — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · November 2, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Kaitlin Quevedo goes up against Paula Badosa in the Hong Kong round of 32. Paula Badosa has won 6 of the last 10. Kaitlin Quevedo comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.
Hold strength tells the story — 65% versus 61.8% on first-serve points in Badosa's favor. Little separates them; Badosa gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-106(51.6% Badosa)
Market-173(63.4% Badosa)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Kaitlin Quevedo
1731
Paula Badosa
1744
Overall rating
Kaitlin Quevedo
1764
Paula Badosa
1831
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Kaitlin Quevedo
Paula Badosa
1st serve in
61.6%
60.6%
1st serve points won
61.8%
65%
2nd serve points won
46.9%
44.9%
Form
Kaitlin Quevedo
8–2
Paula Badosa
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Who is predicted to win Kaitlin Quevedo vs Paula Badosa?
Maiden gives Paula Badosa a 52% chance to beat Kaitlin Quevedo in the Hong Kong round of 32 on November 2, 2026.
How confident is the Paula Badosa pick?
52% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 52%, picks in that range have won 56% of the time (233 so far). See the track record page for the full table.