Friday's Bastad semifinal pits Kaitlin Quevedo against Simona Waltert on clay. Simona Waltert is 3-7 across recent matches. Kaitlin Quevedo is 6-4 across recent matches.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Simona Waltert simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Quevedo comes in off a compressed schedule; Waltert comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Waltert fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Kaitlin Quevedo | Simona Waltert |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.6% | 64.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 60.2% | 59.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 48.1% | 43.5% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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