Thursday's Cincinnati first round pits Kamilla Rakhimova against Kimberly Birrell on hard. Kimberly Birrell limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Kamilla Rakhimova has won 4 of the last 10.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Birrell is exactly that — a lean.