A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Kamilla Rakhimova goes up against Maya Joint in the Tokyo quarterfinal. Kamilla Rakhimova has won 6 of the last 10. Maya Joint comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Rakhimova has been winning 62.4% of first-serve points to Joint's 59.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Rakhimova gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Kamilla Rakhimova | Maya Joint |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 57.9% | 64.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 62.4% | 59.3% |
| 2nd serve points won | 45.4% | 46.3% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.