Tuesday's Wimbledon quarterfinal pits Karolina Muchova against Naomi Osaka on grass. Naomi Osaka has won 10 in a row and 10 of the last 10 overall. Karolina Muchova has won 9 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall.
The ledger favors Naomi Osaka, 4-2 across their 6 meetings with Karolina Muchova.
The serve is where this match separates: Osaka has been winning 71.1% of first-serve points to Muchova's 64.4%, and on grass that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Osaka fractionally more likely to land the big points.