A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Karolina Pliskova goes up against Mirra Andreeva in the Toronto round of 64. Mirra Andreeva comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Karolina Pliskova is 7-3 across recent matches.

Mirra Andreeva is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Andreeva around 65%. Andreeva should have enough here, though Pliskova has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.