Kasidit Samrej and Rei Sakamoto meet in the round of 32 at Seoul on Monday. Rei Sakamoto has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Kasidit Samrej is 6-4 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Sakamoto.