Ningbo · R32 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 20, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC · Cancelled
Katarzyna Kawa vs Maja Chwalinska — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · October 20, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Katarzyna Kawa and Maja Chwalinska meet in the round of 32 at Ningbo on Tuesday. Maja Chwalinska has won 6 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Katarzyna Kawa has dropped 3 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.
Maja Chwalinska simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. If Chwalinska plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-417(80.6% Chwalinska)
Market-278(73.5% Chwalinska)
Sources: Market price (via our tennis data provider). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Katarzyna Kawa
1543
Maja Chwalinska
1862
Overall rating
Katarzyna Kawa
1678
Maja Chwalinska
1945
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Katarzyna Kawa
Maja Chwalinska
1st serve in
61.4%
71.3%
1st serve points won
57.5%
58.4%
2nd serve points won
41.7%
47.2%
Form
Katarzyna Kawa
3–7
Maja Chwalinska
8–2
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who is predicted to win Katarzyna Kawa vs Maja Chwalinska?
Maiden gives Maja Chwalinska a 81% chance to beat Katarzyna Kawa in the Ningbo round of 32 on October 20, 2026.
How confident is the Maja Chwalinska pick?
81% is a “Strong” tier pick. When we make a pick around 81%, picks in that range have won 86% of the time (42 so far). See the track record page for the full table.