A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Katarzyna Kawa goes up against Panna Udvardy in the Iasi round of 16. Panna Udvardy comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Katarzyna Kawa has won 6 of the last 10.

Panna Udvardy leads the head-to-head 2-1, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one. On clay specifically it reads 2-1 Udvardy — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Udvardy has been winning 62.1% of first-serve points to Kawa's 57.7%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Udvardy fractionally more likely to land the big points.