Thursday's Beijing first round pits Katie Volynets against Robin Montgomery on hard. Katie Volynets is 7-3 across recent matches. Robin Montgomery is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10).

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Volynets is exactly that — a lean.