A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Kayla Day goes up against Kimberly Birrell in the Osaka round of 32. Kimberly Birrell limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 7 wins in 10. Kayla Day is 3-7 across recent matches.

Kimberly Birrell is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Birrell around 64%. The edge belongs to Birrell — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.